First Trust Exchange Traded Etf Performance
| ILDR Etf | USD 32.89 0.56 1.67% |
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.04, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Trust returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days First Trust Exchange Traded has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable fundamental indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
1 | AE Wealth Management LLC Raises Stake in First Trust Innovation Leaders ETF ILDR - Defense World | 11/13/2025 |
2 | Responsive Playbooks and the ILDR Inflection - news.stocktradersdaily.com | 12/09/2025 |
3 | Tuesdays ETF with Unusual Volume ILDR - Nasdaq | 12/23/2025 |
4 | Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning - Stock Traders Daily | 01/23/2026 |
First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,446 in First Trust Exchange Traded on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (157.00) from holding First Trust Exchange Traded or give up 4.56% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Exchange Traded is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.3297% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
3 y Volatility 19.31 | 200 Day MA 30.4456 | 1 y Volatility 21.67 | 50 Day MA 33.1288 | Inception Date 2021-05-25 |
First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 32.89 | 90 days | 32.89 | about 70.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.6 (This First Trust Exchange Traded probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually indicates First Trust Exchange Traded market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow. Additionally First Trust Exchange Traded has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. First Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Exchange Traded, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
First Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Trust Exchange generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund retains 98.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
First Trust Fundamentals Growth
First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.
| Total Asset | 2.81 M | |||
About First Trust Performance
Assessing First Trust's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into First Trust's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the First Trust is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stock and depository receipts issued by U.S. and non-U.S. companies that may benefit from the development or application of scientific and technological innovation. FT Innovation is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.| First Trust Exchange generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund retains 98.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Exchange Traded. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Understanding First Trust Exchange requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what First Trust's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Trust's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Trust's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.